Boise State Positioned for Mountain West Dominance in 2025
As college football evolves, one constant remains: the Mountain West Conference is dominated by Boise State. Fresh off a remarkable College Football Playoff appearance, the Broncos enter the 2025 season as the frontrunners.
Boise State: The Reigning Champions
Boise State has established itself as a powerhouse, securing back-to-back Mountain West titles and appearing in the conference championship game seven out of the last eight years. With expectations high, anything less than a three-peat would be seen as a setback.
2025 Mountain West Conference Odds
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Boise State | -155 |
| UNLV | +650 |
| San Jose State | +750 |
| Fresno State | +900 |
| Colorado State | 14/1 |
| Air Force | 16/1 |
| Hawaii | 20/1 |
| San Diego State | 33/1 |
| Wyoming | 33/1 |
| Utah State | 50/1 |
| Nevada | 75/1 |
| New Mexico | 150/1 |
Odds via bet365
Analyzing Boise State’s Chances
The Favorite: Boise State
Despite losing standout running back Ashton Jeanty to the NFL, Boise State’s reputation as a relentless force remains intact. With head coach Spencer Danielson entering his second full year, the Broncos look poised to improve upon their already impressive performance. Quarterback Maddux Madsen, who threw for over 3,000 yards in 2024, returns to lead the offensive charge.
The Pressure on Madsen
The absence of Jeanty means increased scrutiny on Madsen, but his strong offensive line and a ferocious defense should help lighten the load. Nonetheless, betting on Boise as the favorite at -155 presents a challenge; bettors must perceive them with a higher than 60.8% chance of winning to find value.
Potential Challengers to Boise State
The Dark Horses: UNLV and San Jose State
-
UNLV: With Dan Mullen at the helm in his debut season, UNLV aims to make waves despite a roster overhaul. Ranking 132nd in returning players, the Rebels have relied on substantial NIL deals to attract prospects. However, with around 20 new starters, potential backers might feel uneasy about their +650 odds.
- San Jose State: Hailed for their promising first season under Ken Niumatalolo, the Spartans are generating buzz. However, the betting line has surged since opening, making their current odds less attractive for those looking for value.
Other Notable Teams
- Fresno State: Historically a strong contender in the Group of 5, the Bulldogs are undergoing significant changes, making a +900 wager less enticing.
Best Bets for the Mountain West Conference
Air Force to Win the Mountain West (16/1)
Air Force is a compelling option, especially after their impressive turnaround last season. With a 1-7 start turning into a 5-7 finish, interest in the Falcons has surged. If they can sustain their second-half momentum into 2025, they could be worthy challengers.
Hawaii to Win the Mountain West (20/1)
This critical year for head coach Timmy Chang could see Hawaii make a substantial impact. With a favorable schedule and the emergence of quarterback Micah Alejado, who dazzled with 469 yards and five touchdowns last season, 2025 might be Hawaii’s breakout year.
Conclusion: Betting Strategy and Insights
In a conference where unpredictability reigns, the Mountain West presents unique betting opportunities. Trusting historical momentum can often be misleading, especially in a high-turnover environment. However, aligning bets with teams that show promise, like Air Force and Hawaii, may yield exciting outcomes.
For detailed betting information, check out comprehensive guides on NCAA betting odds and strategies from trusted sources.
