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In a tense atmosphere surrounding the escalating trade war, discussions between President Trump and President Xi are anticipated this week. The conversation is expected to focus on the ongoing trade negotiations, particularly concerning licensing issues that have reportedly been delayed by Chinese authorities. Following a series of heated exchanges between the two nations, with China challenging U.S. policies and Trump taking to social media to accuse China of undermining the trade truce, the stakes are high as both leaders prepare for dialogue.
Phelim Keane, a China correspondent for Politico, offered insights regarding the potential outcomes of the upcoming conversation. He expressed skepticism about whether the call would take place, suggesting that past assurances have not materialized, creating a notable pattern of expectation versus reality. He highlighted that while Trump is eager for a productive meeting, it is unclear how willing Xi Jinping is to engage constructively amid the current tensions, particularly given Trump’s unpredictable negotiation style.
Should the anticipated call not occur, Keane speculated that Trump’s reactions on social media could escalate further, especially as he aims to maintain pressure on China. This dynamic is complicated by China’s position of power in the trade negotiations, especially regarding critical minerals crucial for both civilian and military industries in the U.S.
The conversation about tariffs also brought to light recent developments, including the U.S. Trade Representative extending the expiration date for exemptions on certain tariffs imposed on Chinese imports. These extensions appear to be part of a strategic bargaining tool rather than long-term solutions, as they target imports linked to renewable energy sectors, indicating the administration’s recognition of domestic demand.
Keane analyzed Trump’s capabilities as a negotiator and highlighted the apparent confusion regarding the administration’s long-term strategy in the trade war. He underscored that while the president has the final say, there seems to be a lack of coherent strategy, making it challenging to ascertain the true direction of discussions.
Overall, the complex backdrop of this ongoing trade conflict points to uncertain negotiations, as both parties grapple with domestic and international pressures while navigating the intricacies of global trade dynamics.
